Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 1.819517 2.090656 2.388761 2.740913 3.145690 3.596577 4.137222
2025-06-22 1.458608 1.817764 2.245758 2.793733 3.477398 4.303230 5.378207
2025-06-29 1.175902 1.571408 2.076518 2.769711 3.697983 4.900682 6.581756
2025-07-06 0.937334 1.331988 1.867705 2.649356 3.763645 5.299707 7.586699
2025-07-13 0.830213 1.246852 1.844339 2.765663 4.155401 6.181658 9.376156
2025-07-20 0.748239 1.181495 1.834523 2.893337 4.574641 7.154333 11.439191
2025-07-27 0.675634 1.116875 1.812916 2.994596 4.961490 8.124080 13.635293
2025-08-03 0.603342 1.040358 1.759259 3.032657 5.246432 8.963430 15.734910
2025-08-10 0.522464 0.936729 1.645148 2.950267 5.312494 9.441185 17.279389
2025-08-17 0.444750 0.826866 1.504326 2.798967 5.231990 9.646769 18.357550
2025-08-24 0.395741 0.761550 1.432719 2.760802 5.347580 10.211864 20.169003
2025-08-31 0.353929 0.703698 1.366638 2.722524 5.454720 10.769651 22.036577
2025-09-07 0.337046 0.693559 1.392793 2.873602 5.966359 12.201829 25.917807
2025-09-14 0.309124 0.657476 1.363560 2.909897 6.252975 13.229772 29.134017
2025-09-21 0.277616 0.609487 1.303748 2.874010 6.383408 13.954534 31.817253
2025-09-28 0.241979 0.547563 1.206391 2.743111 6.288269 14.183276 33.433453
2025-10-05 0.230553 0.537597 1.219666 2.860007 6.765457 15.741822 38.357760
2025-10-12 0.220883 0.530225 1.237585 2.989937 7.291644 17.486400 44.002944
2025-10-19 0.210056 0.518563 1.243997 3.093334 7.769316 19.184342 49.804093
2025-10-26 0.196121 0.497378 1.225048 3.131917 8.092574 20.553230 54.986187
2025-11-02 0.176571 0.459443 1.160439 3.046379 8.087809 21.101601 58.100290
2025-11-09 0.155546 0.414805 1.073231 2.889863 7.874229 21.081789 59.670379
2025-11-16 0.142573 0.389568 1.032259 2.850313 7.969110 21.889407 63.677358